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Leg 6, 2015

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Leg 6 - 2015, Update 1

To: John Neal and crew of SY 'Mahina Tiare'
From: Commanders' Weather Corp
Route: Horta to Tralee/Fenit, Ireland
Position 1300utc Monday, Aug 3, 2015 '" 42 06n/24 03w
Prepared: 1345utc Monday, Aug 3, 2015



1) Have made some slight adjustments to the forecast below based on latest
6 utc GFS model run.
2) Be prepared for a strong blow beginning toward 00 utc Tuesday and
peaking during the day Tuesday
as fast moving low tracks a 150+ miles to your N.
3) Expect about a 12 hr SW gale shifting to W then NW and lasting another
12 hours as frontal system
moves thru tomorrow evening.
4) Winds diminish significantly later Tuesday night as the low pulls away.
5) No major changes from earlier forecast.

Routing:
Current position to near 44 10n/21 10w by 12 utc Tue then to Tralee
Some estimated positions below

Wind forecasts
Wind directions are TRUE, wind speed in kts, and time is UTC

Mon, Aug 3
18: 230-250/ 6-11, wind backing
Weather'|Cloudy to partly cloudy. Cloudy tonight with showers and squalls
towards daybreak
Seas 6-8 '"NNW swell '" developing SW sea overnight

Tue, Aug 4
00: 210-190/18-25 g 30 stronger wind to the W
06: 200-220/30-40 developing squalls around/shortly after this time
09: 200-220/30-40 squally
12: 230-250/40-30 nr 44 10n/21 10w
18: 250-270/25-35, g40
Weather'| Lots of clouds with showers/squalls into early afternoon. Variable
clouds with a shower late
Gusty winds to 40+ kts near a heavier squall.
Seas SW to WNW up to 9-13 ft

Wed, Aug 5 '" Winds diminish
00: 320-340/22-30
06: 310-330/12-18
12: 290-310/10-15 nr 46 30n/18 20w
18: 250-270/ 6-11
Weather'|Partly cloudy day, clouding up night
Seas diminishing to 6-8 ft day, 5-7 ft night '" NW swell

Thurs, Aug 6 '" stronger wind to the S
00: 230-250/ 6-11, front close
06: 350-010/ 7-12
12: 360-020/11-16 nr 48 30n/16w
18: 350-010/15-20
Weather'|Mostly cloudy with a few showers '"heavier activity to the S
Seas 5-7 ft

Fri, Aug 7
00: 340-360/17-22
06: 340-360/14-19
12: 330-350/12-17 nr 50 30n/13w
18: 320-340/11-16
Weather'|Variable clouds
Seas 4-6 ft

Sat, Aug 8
00: 310-330/11-16
06: 270-290/ 5-9 nr Tralee
12: 230-250/12-17 Tralee
Weather'|Partly cloudy

Best regards,
George Caras/Tom Mattus

--

Commanders' Weather Corporation
Tel: 603-882-6789
Email: info@commandersweather.com
Website: commandersweather.com


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